Portly-Elevator
0x81717792b93c39de9923a776e493101c6165cde8
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$168.55
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
170 shares @ 93.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$168.55
$10.13
- UNDER
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5
1005 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-281.26
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 20 above $265?
737 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-81.02
- NO
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
504 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.48
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
398 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-35.81
- YES
Will Trump say "Low Energy" in March?
318 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.80
- YES
Will CD La Serena win on 2026-03-15?
296 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-71.04
- 100 THIEVES
Rainbow Six Siege: 100 Thieves vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group A
243 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-177.51
- YES
Will Justin Bieber perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
242 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.27
- YES
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
227 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 20 above $265?$81.02Apr 20, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)$807.44Apr 17, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)$662.10Apr 13, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jason Anavitarte win the GA-14 special election?$168.78Apr 10, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Ruszkowski win the GA-14 special election?$276.43Apr 9, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Martin Momtahan win the GA-14 special election?$169.90Apr 8, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMChennaiyin FC vs. Inter Kashi FC: O/U 3.5$266.77Apr 8, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?$465.95Apr 7, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYChennaiyin FC vs. Inter Kashi FC: O/U 3.5$200.08Apr 3, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,160,000 and $1,180,000 on April 1?$214.03Apr 2, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,160,000 and $1,180,000 on April 1?$196.91Mar 29, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Thunder$120.04Mar 29, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: 100 Thieves vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group A$177.51Mar 29, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$55.48Mar 29, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?$396.06Mar 28, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Low Energy" in March?$31.80Mar 28, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $156-$158 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$710.00Mar 28, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Thunder$103.23Mar 24, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$35.81Mar 24, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $156-$158 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$617.70Mar 24, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $184.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".