Jolly-Might
0x818194b94ab4ad97914de720f3bef976fe9483d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
144
Open notional
$318.68
Total PnL
$-402.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 144- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
38 shares @ 48.7¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$22.52
$3.76
- NO
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.15
$1.15
- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
17 shares @ 51.1¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$9.96
$1.11
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
69 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$9.96
$-0.34
- ARTHUR GEA
Hamburg European Open: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Gea
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$9.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.75
$-0.08
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
15 shares @ 67.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$9.70
$-0.30
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
60 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.62
$-0.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 33.7¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.56
$-0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?$4.95May 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?$4.97May 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Gea$5.08May 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?$4.97May 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?$4.94May 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$5.05May 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Gea$5.08May 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$4.60May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova$0.04May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengaluru 3: Maximus Jones vs Sasikumar Mukund$5.04May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova$0.12May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$4.60May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$5.28May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$5.15May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$4.85May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.98May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.98May 18, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$4.40May 18, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$5.15May 18, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$5.28May 18, 10:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".