Plain-Bath
0x8198698995a7e117bb86bb6a09bdda4a36a82528
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$51.01
Total PnL
$-9.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
51 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Malik Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?
173 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.6¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
37 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- GERALD MEERSCHAERT
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)
6 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
5 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
4 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 14?$60.12May 15, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 14?$60.01May 14, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 14, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$30.40May 14, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,700 on May 5?$30.03May 6, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 5?$50.10May 6, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$30.00May 5, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,700 on May 5?$30.00May 5, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 5?$50.01May 5, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$0.00May 5, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$2.27May 5, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 27?$106.76Apr 28, 04:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.18Apr 28, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Ann Li vs Leylah Fernandez$1.10Apr 27, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 27?$106.66Apr 27, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Ann Li vs Leylah Fernandez$1.00Apr 27, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$0.94Apr 27, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 24?$112.82Apr 25, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.20 on April 24?$100.17Apr 25, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$50.29Apr 24, 19:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $34.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 13:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 04:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".