0x81bcc9d7ff4db2039576e0494595758b533c7a4e
0x81bcc9d7ff4db2039576e0494595758b533c7a4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$199.25
Total PnL
$-99.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$24.74
$-0.05
- NO
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$24.38
$-0.41
- KK STUDENTSKI CENTAR
KK Studentski Centar vs. Mega Mozzart
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$24.28
$-0.23
- NO
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?
25 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$24.25
$-0.25
- NO
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 95.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$23.72
$-1.07
- NO
Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
24 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$23.56
$-0.11
- NO
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 93.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$23.24
$-1.55
- NO
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 90.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$22.38
$-2.41
- YES
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
25 shares @ 99.8¢·now 35.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$8.71
$-16.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
26 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-14.31
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$23.71May 17, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$23.68May 17, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$23.61May 15, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?$23.52May 14, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?$23.48May 13, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Team Solid vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group A$23.39May 13, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Team Solid vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group A$23.38May 13, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$24.29May 12, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$23.70May 11, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMGame 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?$23.57May 9, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?$23.56May 9, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-05-07?$24.12May 7, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-05-07?$23.38May 7, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$23.41May 7, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?$24.44May 6, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?$23.34May 5, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?$23.33May 5, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kahrabaa Ismailia FC win on 2026-05-04?$24.40May 4, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMGhazl El Mahalla SC vs. Ismaily SC: O/U 4.5$24.47May 3, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGhazl El Mahalla SC vs. Ismaily SC: O/U 4.5$24.42May 3, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $22.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".