Physical-Muskrat
0x81c0d7a80a1b64d630f07ad007a34eeb6f723fa5
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$186.22
Total PnL
$11.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
167 shares @ 32.5¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.05
$6.62
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
50 shares @ 80.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$45.75
$5.75
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 66.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$35.40
$-4.20
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
43 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.78
$1.68
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.25
$1.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$39.60May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$30.10May 17, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$24.68May 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$11.98May 15, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$40.00May 14, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$21.95May 12, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$22.97May 12, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$2.88May 12, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$10.08May 12, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$23.86May 12, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$14.70May 8, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$5.21May 6, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$4.87May 6, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$20.64May 6, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$10.08May 6, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.36May 6, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$18.54May 6, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$3.50May 6, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$3.50May 6, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$26.55May 5, 21:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $16.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".