Huge-Grenade
0x82136cdd067fd17e7823283493358c6d5b6748a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$156.36
Total PnL
$-18.92
Realised
$1.14
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
30 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$25.89
$0.89
- NO
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
24 shares @ 92.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$23.46
$1.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 92.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
33 shares @ 71.9¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$18.21
$-5.39
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$13.90
$2.62
- YES
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
15 shares @ 82.8¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$13.20
$1.20
- YES
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?
13 shares @ 86.8¢·now 91.2¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$12.02
$0.58
- NO
Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
10 shares @ 80.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$8.98
$0.92
- NO
Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
8 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$7.56
$-0.01
- YES
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.27
$0.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$27.27May 6, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?$7.83May 5, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$18.84Apr 28, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?$6.16Apr 22, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?$12.76Apr 22, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$7.56Apr 22, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$1.43Apr 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?$5.92Apr 21, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?$8.33Apr 21, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?$5.89Apr 21, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$15.47Apr 21, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$6.15Apr 21, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-5.5)$4.58Apr 21, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5$6.10Apr 21, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-5.5)$3.28Apr 21, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLHawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5$2.56Apr 21, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5$0.58Apr 21, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5$0.29Apr 21, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5$1.03Apr 21, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5$1.28Apr 21, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 19:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 23:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".