Apprehensive-Thorn
0x821f7288f5043da0cafc084c86e0f5ca435c3084
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-709.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
14626 shares @ 6.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$943.41
$-56.58
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
2175 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$489.34
$-10.65
- YES
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
580 shares @ 51.6¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$350.84
$51.84
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
640 shares @ 54.7¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$201.60
$-148.40
- YES
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
1138 shares @ 26.4¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.42
$-106.58
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.00
$-10.00
- YES
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
814 shares @ 12.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.48
$-14.52
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$63.54
$-36.46
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.00
$-50.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
469 shares @ 32.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.03
$-127.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 11, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$355.29May 10, 23:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 8, 00:14 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$32.02May 7, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$350.00May 6, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$150.00May 6, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 6, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 6, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$200.00May 6, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$441.91May 6, 12:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $160.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".