Insidious-Mushroom
0x823ce4f5754bce96d4f19aad58e6d643b9ab5046
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$904.80
Total PnL
$-25.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
10000 shares @ 4.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$505.00
$50.01
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
400 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$399.80
$0.20
- YES
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Cagliari win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
2985 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.97
- YES
Will Parma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
1425 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will Udinese win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
1330 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- YES
Will Pisa win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
1208 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
Will Verona win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
1129 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$199.80May 15, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$199.80May 15, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$50.00Apr 15, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada strike Iran by March 31?$100.00Apr 15, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$271.24Apr 15, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$300.00Apr 15, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$48.90Mar 24, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$270.16Mar 24, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$255.00Mar 15, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada strike Iran by March 31?$99.70Mar 15, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Robert Fico handshake last less than 2 seconds?$199.94Feb 2, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok 4.20 be released on January 16, 2026?$500.00Feb 2, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Robert Fico handshake last less than 2 seconds?$6.46Jan 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Robert Fico handshake last less than 2 seconds?$10.11Jan 17, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Robert Fico handshake last less than 2 seconds?$29.38Jan 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Robert Fico handshake last less than 2 seconds?$50.56Jan 17, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Robert Fico handshake last less than 2 seconds?$30.33Jan 17, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Robert Fico handshake last less than 2 seconds?$10.11Jan 17, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Robert Fico handshake last less than 2 seconds?$10.11Jan 17, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Robert Fico handshake last less than 2 seconds?$10.11Jan 17, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $73.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 03:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".