Quick-Witted-Certificate
0x823ddce5bc6a545529d2669977b890a6cedc2db3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$7.1K
Total PnL
$37.43
Realised
$76.53
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.9K
$1.5K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$895.20
$-1.5K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
660 shares @ 86.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$577.50
$4.10
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
623 shares @ 72.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$426.75
$-27.47
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
380 shares @ 93.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$362.89
$8.54
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
150 shares @ 92.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$141.75
$3.25
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$96.85
$1.85
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
190 shares @ 35.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.13
$-12.34
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
50 shares @ 94.7¢·now 98.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$49.05
$1.70
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.25
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$33.99May 18, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$33.99May 18, 06:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.53May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$42.50May 17, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$13.50May 17, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.01May 17, 08:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.53May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$15.07May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$47.35May 16, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$0.54May 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$95.40May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$47.05May 16, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$47.65May 16, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$8.68May 16, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$15.09May 16, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$39.58May 16, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$38.83May 16, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$39.30May 16, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$24.12May 16, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$33.28May 16, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $24.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".