Reflecting-Traffic
0x8273e84d32d9d0951b81695d7fd89bc6c098209e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$128.23
Total PnL
$-2.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
66 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.33
$0.33
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 88.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.81
$-1.19
- NO
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
27 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.60
$-0.20
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.50
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$14.00May 17, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$60.22May 17, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$30.14May 17, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$30.84May 17, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matej Tonin be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$16.53May 17, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matej Tonin be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$16.54Apr 15, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$30.80Apr 8, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$34.14Apr 8, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$33.60Apr 4, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$16.78Apr 4, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?$22.45Apr 4, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$16.80Mar 24, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$16.18Mar 24, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Quinton Byfield win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$16.20Mar 24, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?$22.50Mar 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$26.80Mar 9, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Quinton Byfield win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$16.20Mar 2, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$16.20Feb 28, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Is It Cake? Valentines" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$18.53Feb 28, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ordinary by Alex Warren be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?$12.82Feb 11, 02:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $24.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 04:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".