Drafty-File
0x82780d0e52e2d33f16c2f8aac91121ee623def14
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$307.64
Total PnL
$-127.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
501 shares @ 38.3¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$195.37
$3.37
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
263 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.05
$-3.95
- NO
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?
22 shares @ 45.9¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.52
$-2.48
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?
47 shares @ 85.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Will Yum! Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?
26 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?
25 shares @ 80.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?$10.27May 17, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?$24.62May 15, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings?$10.12May 14, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?$20.19May 14, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$92.00May 12, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$108.00May 12, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$100.00Apr 28, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.19Apr 28, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Feb 6, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?$23.26Feb 6, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microchip Technology (MCHP) beat quarterly earnings?$23.53Feb 6, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?$30.30Feb 6, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill U-Haul (UHAL.B) beat quarterly earnings?$25.73Feb 5, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Merck & Co Inc (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Feb 4, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?$28.13Feb 4, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Merck & Co Inc (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?$24.39Feb 4, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?$26.93Feb 3, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U-Haul (UHAL.B) beat quarterly earnings?$20.00Feb 2, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?$20.00Feb 2, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microchip Technology (MCHP) beat quarterly earnings?$20.00Feb 2, 20:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $23.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".