Thorough-Camera
0x82890ae985a1629cdb0f11458b7379c64a5b6194
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$9.68
Total PnL
$-21.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.12
$2.12
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.27
$1.27
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.02
$-1.98
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$0.46Feb 6, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?$0.59Feb 6, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.96Feb 6, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.80Feb 6, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.71Feb 6, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.14Feb 6, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.42Feb 6, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on January 12?$1.22Feb 6, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.22Feb 6, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$5.29Feb 6, 05:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 6, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 5, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 4, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 3, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 2, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 1, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 31, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 30, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 29, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 00:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".