Tangible-Ephemeris
0x829162b87d4889e8bb85f6576694f1090aa6d6fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$7.31
Total PnL
$-137.46
Realised
$1.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
20 shares @ 50.4¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.35
$-3.65
- YES
Will West Ham United place 17th for the 2025-26 English Premier League season?
16 shares @ 68.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.95
$-9.94
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
52 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-27.50
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?
47 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?
39 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?
30 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- OVER
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.12May 16, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$45.33May 16, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$5.07May 16, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$25.33May 16, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?$3.06May 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$3.07May 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$6.91May 13, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$15.23May 13, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$77.42May 11, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$30.30May 10, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?$10.15May 10, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?$2.05May 10, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$30.37May 8, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5$10.17May 6, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?$16.39May 5, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?$10.12May 5, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$12.32May 4, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$10.10May 4, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?$26.32May 3, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$10.20May 3, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $11.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".