Ordinary-Group
0x82a569a07877daef9ac93ad70b8cd64840cc8f69
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
180
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$95.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 180- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
417 shares @ 52.8¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$214.71
$-5.29
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
336 shares @ 71.5¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$213.09
$-26.91
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
217 shares @ 69.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$138.04
$-11.96
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
543 shares @ 22.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$95.05
$-26.28
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
98 shares @ 51.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$66.18
$16.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
319 shares @ 21.9¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$54.26
$-15.74
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
130 shares @ 29.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.95
$16.25
- YES
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?
77 shares @ 64.8¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$52.46
$2.46
- YES
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?
107 shares @ 28.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$36.43
$6.43
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
128 shares @ 39.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.41
$-18.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?$10.24May 17, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$20.51May 17, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$69.97May 17, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?$30.76May 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$20.30May 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?$20.50May 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?$20.44May 16, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$20.25May 16, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$20.28May 16, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?$10.22May 16, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?$10.22May 16, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$50.60May 16, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 PGA Championship?$10.28May 16, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$10.24May 16, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$30.86May 16, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?$137.93May 16, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$51.08May 14, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$102.87May 14, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$105.60May 14, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$21.07May 14, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $37.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".