Splendid-Flu
0x82b9587a631848a939fe31e7fc9b865e5d43f0b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$92.76
Total PnL
$-736.95
Realised
$29.31
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
435 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$45.68
$-2.17
- NO
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
76 shares @ 33.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$21.21
$-3.79
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
58 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.96
$-2.04
- YES
Will Solana reach $100 in May?
41 shares @ 24.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.69
$-5.10
- YES
Will "DAN DA DAN Season 2" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
41 shares @ 17.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$4.66
$-2.34
- YES
Will "The Apothecary Diaries Season 2" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
221 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 23, 2026$4.30
$0.08
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
253 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.66
$-1.34
- YES
Will "The Summer Hikaru Died" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
129 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.74
$-1.41
- YES
Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
75 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 17, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$7.25May 17, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru$1.00May 17, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru$1.00May 17, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in May?$10.31May 17, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$49.56May 13, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$118.48May 9, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$161.09May 9, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Apothecary Diaries Season 2" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$1.05May 8, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Takopi's Original Sin" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$1.05May 8, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$25.00Apr 23, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "DAN DA DAN Season 2" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$7.00Apr 23, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 18, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders$0.80Apr 17, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Summer Hikaru Died" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$2.80Apr 17, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Apothecary Diaries Season 2" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$3.00Apr 17, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Summer Hikaru Died" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$0.35Apr 14, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Apothecary Diaries Season 2" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$0.22Apr 14, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?$11.00Apr 12, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?$23.54Apr 11, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".