Gargantuan-Ambition
0x82cbef5439edff96b1b3c02d10fe1f705649adf9
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
9739 shares @ 34.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$-1.6K
- YES
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
1596 shares @ 10.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.78
$-79.25
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
754 shares @ 40.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$79.18
$-225.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$304.34Mar 29, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$304.35Mar 29, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.3KMar 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$500.00Mar 26, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$167.03Mar 7, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$16.67Mar 7, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$150.35Mar 7, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$231.28Mar 1, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$231.29Mar 1, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$87.89Jan 31, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$87.89Jan 31, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$698.90Jan 10, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $532.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 22:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".