Dull-Commitment
0x82cd027506124dfb3cd3dc56da3c0e8c09a500ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
189
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-502.81
Realised
$-5.35
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 189- NO
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
298 shares @ 46.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$269.60
$131.41
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
226 shares @ 67.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$208.83
$55.83
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
262 shares @ 15.8¢·now 48.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$128.27
$86.97
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
152 shares @ 39.4¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.52
$46.52
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
105 shares @ 76.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$99.00
$19.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
97 shares @ 79.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$83.34
$6.34
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
97 shares @ 62.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$77.90
$17.90
- NO
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
62 shares @ 81.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$60.40
$10.40
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$48.50
$35.50
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
52 shares @ 58.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.12
$11.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$112.07May 16, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$24.69May 11, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$32.43May 11, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$84.62May 9, 16:36 UTC
- REWARD$1.11May 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?$110.98May 7, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$159.21May 7, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$100.00May 7, 08:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.14May 7, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$3.67May 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?$7.20May 2, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?$9.60May 2, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$34.84May 2, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$93.43May 2, 06:34 UTC
- REWARD$3.58May 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?$100.00May 1, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?$97.75May 1, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?$2.25May 1, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$21.30May 1, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$32.81May 1, 07:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $38.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 09:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".