Real-Exchange
0x82d98ef7db1f6fc2b63ce7da378e17bcfe8ca600
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$157.92
Total PnL
$-86.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?
3256 shares @ 5.7¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$157.92
$-26.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
490 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- UNDER
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
102 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMMiami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova$0.00Mar 30, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMFrederico Ferreira Silva vs. Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg: Total Sets O/U 2.5$0.00Mar 30, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win on 2026-03-26?$0.00Mar 30, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$9.80Mar 25, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova$9.95Mar 25, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$10.01Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$9.80Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$9.80Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$9.60Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$9.61Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrederico Ferreira Silva vs. Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg: Total Sets O/U 2.5$9.80Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMPelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5$0.00Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Islanders (-1.5)$0.00Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMCapitals vs. Blues: O/U 5.5$0.00Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters - Map 1 Winner$0.00Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMCapitals vs. Blues: O/U 5.5$20.42Mar 25, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMSharks vs. Predators$51.57Mar 25, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win on 2026-03-26?$9.80Mar 24, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $9.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 09:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".