Physical-Sunbeam
0x82e74b7739c3cf7a68fdb1b425d643e22c6a0c8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$59.38
Total PnL
$-13.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Declan Rice record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
32 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.32
$0.32
- NO
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$5.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Julia Letlow finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?
4 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.74
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 85.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will John Swinney be the next First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections?
3 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 7, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Declan Rice record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$30.04May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julia Letlow finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$3.69May 16, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$1.00May 16, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$1.00May 16, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$1.00May 16, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 16, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$1.00May 16, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 16, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 16, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 16, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00May 16, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.02May 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$1.01May 16, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?$2.03May 15, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?$2.00May 13, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rhun ap Iorwerth be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?$3.05May 13, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Swinney be the next First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections?$3.00May 8, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rhun ap Iorwerth be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?$3.00May 8, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 21, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.16Mar 21, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".