Marvelous-Ambience
0x8304ac4cc84d18e9d42019dfa60376a968e07e56
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$103.27
Total PnL
$-39.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?
59 shares @ 81.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$57.02
$9.02
- NO
Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?
50 shares @ 83.4¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.25
$4.25
- YES
US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will India join the Board of Peace?
56 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Apr 13, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?$42.00Jan 29, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?$3.00Jan 29, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?$20.00Jan 29, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$15.29Jan 29, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?$12.55Jan 29, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Jan 28, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Jan 28, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$10.00Jan 28, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$55.37Jan 28, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India join the Board of Peace?$20.00Jan 24, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Syria recognize Israel by June 30?$48.00Jan 21, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$20.00Jan 21, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$40.00Jan 21, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$128.83Jan 21, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$99.00Jan 13, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $34.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 15:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".