Poor-Tavern
0x8304ada4e1747a1d188d7233b5c047dfce42f086
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
150
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-102.52
Win rate
67%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 150- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
425 shares @ 88.4¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$398.01
$22.31
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
375 shares @ 62.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$362.84
$130.61
- NO
US x China Military clash before 2027?
300 shares @ 89.7¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$281.99
$13.00
- NO
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
340 shares @ 60.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$280.50
$73.50
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
250 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$249.13
$4.49
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
250 shares @ 88.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$196.25
$-23.75
- NO
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
190 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$187.53
$2.61
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
160 shares @ 95.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$157.68
$5.20
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
189 shares @ 70.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$152.19
$19.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$74.10May 18, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$65.10May 18, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$14.82May 18, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$56.64May 18, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'ICEMAN' be less than 30 minutes long?$0.52May 18, 02:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$20.00May 17, 03:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$39.99May 16, 06:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$10.00May 13, 22:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$25.01May 7, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $41.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".