0x83140a215c9a96e28a422a2f1d23adcce5cd9baa
0x83140a215c9a96e28a422a2f1d23adcce5cd9baa
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$73.90
Total PnL
$-5.40
Realised
$2.14
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
26 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.92
$0.10
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 75.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.84
$2.07
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.07
$3.57
- NO
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.20
$1.00
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
22 shares @ 50.0¢·now 31.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.84
$-4.16
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
14 shares @ 28.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.57
$-0.35
- YES
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
18 shares @ 29.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.24
$-1.98
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
17 shares @ 50.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.97
$-5.53
- NO
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 18.1¢·now 8.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.24
$-2.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$1.44Apr 25, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?$1.60Apr 25, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?$4.67Apr 25, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?$1.36Apr 25, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$4.74Apr 25, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?$4.67Apr 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?$1.44Apr 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?$1.80Apr 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$3.50Apr 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$9.76Apr 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$4.74Apr 21, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$1.05Apr 19, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x India military clash by December 31, 2026?$4.35Apr 19, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.92Apr 19, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x India military clash by December 31, 2026?$4.30Apr 16, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$2.79Apr 16, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$8.58Apr 16, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.54Apr 16, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$1.21Apr 16, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$10.14Apr 16, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 14:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".