Red-Bargain
0x832d27c7c3e22a1a806b889cede0ad63ff42b47d
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$327.12
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
378 shares @ 26.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$319.22
$219.22
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.38
$-4.62
- YES
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
265 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.52
$-12.48
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
9886 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?
283 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
182 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$35.50Apr 25, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$11.57Apr 25, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$101.00Apr 23, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$5.00Apr 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$10.00Apr 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 23, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$3.00Apr 23, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Apr 23, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 23, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?$5.00Apr 23, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$21.05Feb 28, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$20.00Jan 26, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$100.00Jan 23, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.3KJan 12, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$5.00Jan 10, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$20.00Jan 10, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$200.00Jan 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?$15.00Jan 10, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $89.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 10:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".