Unwieldy-Quince
0x83741e1105434080431b598ed6b4e90d8bd99149
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$12.2K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-2.7K
Win rate
17%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4510 shares @ 73.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$589.30
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2168 shares @ 60.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$472.59
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
2528 shares @ 59.6¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.6K
$98.67
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1483 shares @ 91.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$120.86
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1068 shares @ 57.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$848.82
$233.65
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
328 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$314.72
$16.24
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
289 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$288.86
$138.58
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
229 shares @ 78.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$226.44
$46.49
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
320 shares @ 68.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$202.90
$-14.80
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$169.00
$21.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$0.00May 15, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$81.43May 15, 07:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.00May 14, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.00May 11, 15:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 3, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".