Heavy-Stretch
0x837f15f6f492016aff4e3f4b5221a4da97d797a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$67.15
Total PnL
$-82.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 64.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.84
$-10.16
- YES
Will Derrick Lewis be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 7.1¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.13
$8.13
- YES
Will Serghei Spivac be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 13.8¢·now 46.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.71
$4.71
- YES
Will Ante Delija be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.87
$4.87
- YES
Will Jailton Almeida be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 12.6¢·now 34.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.53
$3.53
- YES
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Sergei Pavlovich be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 35.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.39
$1.39
- YES
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 9.2¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 26.3¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.13
$-0.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$6.00Feb 16, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?$1.11Feb 16, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$1.21Feb 16, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$3.45Feb 16, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$18.00Feb 12, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$20.00Feb 12, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.91Feb 12, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$22.78Feb 12, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$15.00Feb 12, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.00Feb 12, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.99Feb 8, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$0.61Feb 8, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$0.59Feb 8, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$0.59Feb 8, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.87Feb 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.85Feb 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.86Feb 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.95Feb 8, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 22:11 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 18:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".