Bare-Battalion
0x83868485d5a9695bf9ea0785293175255d4bc2f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$353.16
Total PnL
$-100.85
Realised
$53.91
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
1265 shares @ 12.4¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.87
$-43.55
- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?
100 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 21, 2026$99.75
$21.75
- NO
Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
92 shares @ 50.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$32.20
$-13.80
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
177 shares @ 43.9¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.86
$-45.85
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
208 shares @ 15.6¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.11
$-2.23
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
71 shares @ 52.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.18
$-28.79
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$7.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 7.1¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.50
$-8.70
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?
100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 3.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.85
$1.75
- NO
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
4 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$3.61
$3.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?$3.60May 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Blackwell" this week?$0.38May 17, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?$0.00May 16, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump insult MBS by May 15?$0.00May 16, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 16, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 16, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 16, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.00May 16, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?$0.00May 16, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 14?$0.00May 16, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 12?$0.00May 16, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 13?$0.00May 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?$1.68May 16, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?$14.78May 16, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$11.90May 16, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?$30.00May 16, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?$1.05May 16, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 15, 14:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.03May 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?$5.00May 14, 21:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $9.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 04:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".