Inexperienced-Llama
0x83c440cb631356d139dfeb66b6cb34ff1452ac70
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$228.18
Total PnL
$12.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
97 shares @ 62.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$69.19
$9.19
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
56 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$43.10
$3.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
26 shares @ 76.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$24.08
$4.08
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$22.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
190 shares @ 10.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.95
$-0.05
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.55
$-2.45
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
9 shares @ 79.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$6.74
$-0.46
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
15 shares @ 39.8¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$6.25
$0.25
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.84
$-0.16
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$7.71May 12, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$7.70May 12, 02:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$40.46May 11, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$17.86May 11, 13:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$60.00May 9, 14:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $17.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".