Flamboyant-Barometer
0x83c56c56bc67c0b99b38abd1c0a3c1aca7a7e193
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$6.7K
Total PnL
$408.65
Realised
$-24.95
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
931 shares @ 90.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$931.11
$91.65
- YES
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
800 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$800.00
$280.08
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
550 shares @ 93.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$497.48
$-16.17
- YES
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?
389 shares @ 66.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$389.35
$131.81
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
399 shares @ 85.2¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$386.03
$45.91
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
300 shares @ 72.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$300.00
$82.00
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
283 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$281.18
$28.77
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
400 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$234.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
500 shares @ 38.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$222.50
$32.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
200 shares @ 12.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$199.98
$175.18
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$9.51May 17, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$13.99May 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$13.17May 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$9.83May 17, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.17May 17, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$5.60May 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$4.23May 17, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$2.00May 17, 01:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$46.04May 16, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$2.29May 16, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$38.94May 16, 06:39 UTC
- MERGEAnthropic IPO before 2027?$40.00May 16, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$8.21May 16, 06:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.31May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.20May 16, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$15.30May 16, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "COVID" or "Pandemic" during Bret Baier interview?$2.73May 15, 22:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $28.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".