Likely-Gem
0x83d09ac4ef65e8c8e35e8676c8b28f5f7242e8c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$105.11
Total PnL
$-113.97
Realised
$2.87
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
20 shares @ 78.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$20.08
$4.13
- YES
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
20 shares @ 90.2¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$17.80
$-0.24
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$16.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$15.70
$1.10
- YES
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$15.40
$4.20
- YES
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$15.00
$0.60
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.68
$0.72
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.67
$0.12
- YES
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.78
$-2.18
- YES
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
50 shares @ 76.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-38.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$9.49May 17, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$14.60May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.18May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$5.79May 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$16.78May 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$5.86May 17, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.89May 16, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$7.79May 16, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$12.24May 16, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$8.44May 16, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$20.00May 16, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 160-179 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$16.11May 16, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$19.83May 16, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$23.61May 16, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$4.03May 16, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$15.58May 16, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.00May 16, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$17.20May 16, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$25.00May 16, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.03May 15, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $10.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".