Reliable-Council
0x83d753128114e8dd1e7d02a0b415de4db7b9317f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$15.25
Total PnL
$-8.8K
Realised
$-696.11
Win rate
18%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 33.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.50
$1.50
- YES
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?
1054 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 18, 2026$4.22
$-45.78
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.33
$-0.68
- YES
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?
154 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?
100 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.05
$-10.75
- YES
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?
7930 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
6608 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-75.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.08May 17, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.49May 16, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.20May 16, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$3.12May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$341.28May 16, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$52.38May 16, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$513.56May 16, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?$11.28May 16, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$10.45May 16, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.88May 15, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$5.21May 15, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$36.46May 15, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?$0.00May 15, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$17.26May 15, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$17.18May 15, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$31.78May 15, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$31.18May 15, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?$91.05May 13, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$103.66May 13, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$194.37May 13, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $88.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 04:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".