Piercing-Icecream
0x83dd14f0122fa42b240af38c17ddc2a083a17c53
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.22
Total PnL
$-37.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 488 million subscribers by June 30?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.33
$-0.67
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?
76 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$-0.93
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.95
$-1.05
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 494 million subscribers by June 30?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.88
$-1.12
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
250 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
58 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
28 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
23 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.35
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 488 million subscribers by June 30?$2.10May 16, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?$2.06May 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 494 million subscribers by June 30?$2.09May 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?$2.10May 16, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$9.60May 16, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$20.60May 11, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$0.00May 7, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$2.89May 7, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.04May 4, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.03May 4, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?$0.00Apr 29, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?$2.00Apr 28, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$2.50Apr 28, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$2.00Apr 28, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$2.00Apr 28, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.00Apr 28, 10:40 UTC
- REWARD$0.59Mar 28, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.57Mar 27, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$9.46Mar 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.25Dec 30, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $4.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 07:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".