Somber-Cassock
0x83f54d70b393ee84d5487a75d80ceba56ea84ae3
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-314.78
Win rate
5%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5184 shares @ 50.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$2.3K
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5184 shares @ 50.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$339.56
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Pedro Gallese win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?
5 shares @ 0.9¢·now 66.8¢·exp Nov 22, 2026$3.34
$3.30
- YES
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1685 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.53
$-11.75
- YES
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1685 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.53
$-11.75
- YES
Will Eddie Segura win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
5 shares @ 0.4¢·now 49.6¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$2.48
$2.46
- YES
Will Kristijan Kahlina win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?
5 shares @ 0.9¢·now 48.9¢·exp Nov 22, 2026$2.45
$2.40
- YES
Will Jonathan Sirois win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?
5 shares @ 0.9¢·now 48.6¢·exp Nov 22, 2026$2.43
$2.39
- YES
Will Tristan Blackmon win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
5 shares @ 0.4¢·now 47.6¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$2.38
$2.36
- YES
Will Daniel win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?
5 shares @ 0.9¢·now 46.9¢·exp Nov 22, 2026$2.35
$2.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hany Mukhtar win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?$0.01May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.12May 18, 04:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?$0.68May 17, 10:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.20May 15, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.17May 15, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.43May 15, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.60May 15, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?$0.62May 15, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.60May 15, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.59May 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.01May 15, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.60May 15, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?$0.11May 15, 13:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.60May 14, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?$0.11May 14, 09:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 14, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $0.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 16:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".