Elegant-Formula
0x83fc804aa12bdbffbd2712ce7fa169be5680aae2
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$7.63
Total PnL
$-189.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
381 shares @ 41.7¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.63
$-151.32
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
126 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 17?$0.40May 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 17?$49.58May 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 17?$28.49May 17, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?$16.81May 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?$36.24May 17, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 17?$72.28May 17, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 17?$67.90May 17, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 17?$71.19May 17, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 17?$26.17May 17, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 17?$64.13May 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?$50.97May 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 17?$61.46May 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 17?$38.37May 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 17?$15.16May 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 17?$50.55May 17, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 17?$79.65May 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 17?$50.48May 17, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17?$50.49May 17, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 17?$85.14May 17, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 17?$81.70May 17, 12:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $49.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".