0x840bbfda466a30569d0de605a14ee99a86a686ac
0x840bbfda466a30569d0de605a14ee99a86a686ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$335.77
Total PnL
$-41.00
Realised
$-0.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
157 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$115.39
$-0.78
- NO
Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$99.45
$7.45
- NO
Will Sam Bregman win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?
50 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$46.04
$4.50
- NO
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
45 shares @ 77.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.50
$5.85
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?
60 shares @ 68.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$15.60
$-25.20
- YES
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
80 shares @ 29.5¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.52
$-17.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
16 shares @ 55.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$6.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
53 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.04
$-0.26
- NO
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
24 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.23
$-3.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
16 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.51May 18, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$5.99May 18, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$2.30May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$6.83May 18, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.27May 18, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.86May 18, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$16.00May 18, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$9.12May 18, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$17.00May 18, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$10.00May 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$8.97May 18, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.37May 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.80May 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.83May 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$3.71May 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.14May 18, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$6.00May 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.49May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$3.71May 18, 07:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".