Impolite-Dough
0x8422f6000f91fc85b0cce2dcedbd4129ff65bc87
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$57.28
Total PnL
$-12.20
Realised
$0.31
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
6 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$5.54
$0.14
- NO
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
4 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.10
$0.00
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
4 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?
4 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.52
$0.03
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.44
$0.26
- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.26
$-0.34
- NO
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
3 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.20
$-0.00
- NO
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 91.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.15
$0.19
- NO
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.10
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$3.20May 15, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by April 30?$2.07May 13, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?$3.06May 13, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$3.20May 13, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$4.29May 13, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$3.00May 13, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?$4.24Apr 25, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$2.08Apr 19, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$1.58Apr 19, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$1.25Apr 17, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$5.37Apr 15, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?$4.16Apr 12, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$1.48Apr 11, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$3.14Apr 11, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$5.40Apr 7, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?$3.00Apr 7, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$5.36Apr 5, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.03Apr 5, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$3.74Apr 2, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$3.00Apr 2, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $28.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 11:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".