Surprised-Journal
0x843aed65b49dcb9dc3914be2d7c475abea3ec46e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$23.15
Total PnL
$-4.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.70
$5.90
- YES
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$4.45
$2.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 10?
74 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?
70 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Will 200 to 229 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?
23 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 10?
19 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on April 1?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on April 1?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 1?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?$0.40Apr 28, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?$1.26Apr 28, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$12.80Apr 24, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$2.77Apr 21, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$3.00Apr 21, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 200 to 229 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$0.40Apr 11, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?$10.00Apr 11, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?$0.10Apr 9, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?$0.14Apr 9, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?$0.10Apr 9, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$0.03Apr 3, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$0.40Apr 2, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$0.40Apr 2, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 200 to 229 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$0.40Mar 30, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 1?$1.00Mar 30, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on April 1?$1.00Mar 30, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on April 1?$1.00Mar 30, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 200 to 229 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$0.21Mar 25, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 05:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".