Celebrated-Crisis
0x8465b822ff43a93fd3dcefcd42b1094f1d976cd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$904.90
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-27.42
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- EVEN
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
803 shares @ 50.4¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$401.82
$-2.89
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
284 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$283.86
$0.43
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
255 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$212.93
$-1.27
- NO
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.84
$1.04
- NO
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.00
$0.26
- NO
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
1 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.55
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
4 shares @ 19.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.31
- EVANSVILLE ACES
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)
1666 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-566.44
- NO
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?
450 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-81.00
- NO
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?
443 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-372.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$68.64Apr 27, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?$404.71Apr 23, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$213.72Apr 21, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$3.90Apr 21, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?$0.51Apr 21, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?$22.43Apr 21, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$465.92Apr 13, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$249.60Apr 13, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$100.06Apr 13, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$21.20Apr 13, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$100.60Apr 13, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$30.91Apr 13, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$3.43Apr 13, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?$49.02Apr 12, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?$156.31Apr 12, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?$82.39Apr 12, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$61.75Apr 11, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$10.40Apr 11, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$72.38Apr 11, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$77.77Apr 11, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $181.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".