Nimble-Thermals
0x848df648f91091f0f90d941990764c895d1235e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$-31.55
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
2070 shares @ 48.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$673.14
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1637 shares @ 36.4¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$573.73
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1096 shares @ 65.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$295.87
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
767 shares @ 55.7¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$402.48
$-24.68
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
359 shares @ 60.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$307.22
$89.83
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
300 shares @ 82.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$299.69
$51.70
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
400 shares @ 68.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$297.99
$26.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 49.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$226.50
$79.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
220 shares @ 47.1¢·now 96.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$211.51
$107.92
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
200 shares @ 81.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$186.99
$25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$100.00May 17, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$309.34May 17, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$9.61May 16, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$153.60May 16, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$10.78May 16, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$11.76May 16, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$370.81May 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$18.89May 15, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$63.00May 15, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$63.00May 15, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$98.16May 15, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$36.10May 15, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$7.60May 15, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?$0.65May 15, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?$0.10May 15, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$100.00May 15, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$91.00May 15, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?$1.49May 14, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?$2.91May 14, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$26.10May 14, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $84.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 08:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".