Colossal-Pirate
0x848fb808ac66490456f5af1a9e5fc63b30e9612f
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-263.36
Realised
$71.88
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
300 shares @ 70.9¢·now 65.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$195.31
$-17.40
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
244 shares @ 61.4¢·now 69.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$168.41
$18.41
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
174 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$101.88
$0.87
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
106 shares @ 94.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.14
$-1.86
- YES
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
139 shares @ 80.6¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$87.65
$-24.44
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
135 shares @ 74.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.81
$-14.19
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League?
85 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$74.48
$4.72
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
306 shares @ 16.3¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.60
$5.60
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
323 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$53.85
$3.85
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
217 shares @ 46.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.26
$-46.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$9.78May 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)$10.07May 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$5.06May 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)$5.04May 18, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)$5.03May 18, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?$21.50May 18, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?$0.00May 18, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$10.87May 18, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals$10.20May 18, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)$7.81May 18, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$11.36May 18, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$8.20May 18, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays$8.33May 18, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?$8.33May 17, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$5.06May 17, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)$5.05May 17, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$5.08May 17, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$5.08May 17, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays$5.06May 17, 13:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $6.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".