Talkative-Responsibility
0x84f336bcf38127235efbc15602ce570243d9e6aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$97.96
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
917 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$916.54
$0.46
- OVER
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5
398 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$398.00
$143.28
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
308 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$261.80
$9.24
- YES
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
774 shares @ 14.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$216.72
$108.36
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
176 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-3.95
- YES
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
2 shares @ 4.6¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.02
$-0.07
- NO
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
1 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
- OVER
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
481 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-192.40
- SAN DIEGO TOREROS
San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros
418 shares @ 79.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-333.56
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
336 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-235.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$911.40Apr 27, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$954.80Apr 24, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$108.36Apr 23, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?$1.70Apr 21, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$179.00Apr 15, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMNational T20 Cup: Karachi Region Whites vs Tbc A$398.50Apr 15, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)$546.00Apr 15, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMOlympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce$595.00Apr 15, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMLouisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers$948.00Apr 15, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$54.27Apr 11, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$412.30Apr 11, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$54.27Apr 11, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins$28.77Apr 11, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$252.56Apr 11, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?$32.40Apr 11, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$400.52Apr 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$113.68Apr 9, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$205.90Apr 9, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$133.11Apr 9, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$3.20Apr 9, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $170.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".