Jovial-Strudel
0x850270805e17ba9e8e61031266024c3b684916a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$33.50
Total PnL
$-30.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.49
$2.50
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?
58 shares @ 17.6¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.69
$-1.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
813 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.66
$-3.84
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
84 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.43
$-5.94
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.91
$-8.09
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
86 shares @ 5.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.47
$-3.53
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$1.00May 15, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.08May 11, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.24May 11, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.24May 11, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?$9.99Apr 17, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?$5.19Apr 8, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.50Apr 8, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 8, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$8.37Apr 2, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 2, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 2, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 10, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $5.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 01:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".