Accomplished-Composition
0x851272725783e5bcf0a3bf504cef2af8012d69c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$15.21
Total PnL
$-65.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
409 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.92
$-6.08
- YES
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
229 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
36 shares @ 8.4¢·now 10.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.55
$0.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7?
9281 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.28
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?
686 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
598 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.11
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
139 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.31Apr 22, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.00Apr 22, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Apr 22, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Apr 22, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.22Apr 22, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Apr 22, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.33Apr 22, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Apr 22, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$12.46Apr 21, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$8.72Apr 15, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$0.00Apr 10, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?$0.00Apr 9, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?$7.81Apr 9, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.85Apr 9, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.00Apr 9, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Apr 9, 13:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 22:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".