Our-Ton
0x8528cb0933a03df033dde532eb3965b2533ed446
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$-126.47
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
1000 shares @ 65.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$684.99
$35.00
- YES
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
897 shares @ 37.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$533.72
$193.97
- YES
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?
750 shares @ 18.3¢·now 24.3¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$182.62
$45.14
- YES
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
4581 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-695.95
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 14?
3659 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-59.97
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 12?
3637 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-59.93
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?
2594 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-227.77
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
2239 shares @ 72.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
1539 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-650.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1171 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$1.45May 10, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$1.75Apr 28, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$86.60Apr 28, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?$35.56Apr 23, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?$0.18Apr 23, 20:44 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Apr 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$163.83Apr 11, 14:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.15Apr 11, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.43Apr 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$38.86Apr 10, 18:05 UTC
- REWARD$1.21Apr 10, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.45Apr 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$5.57Apr 9, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$0.04Apr 9, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$328.88Apr 9, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$18.65Apr 9, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$92.86Apr 9, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$1.30Apr 9, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$206.37Apr 9, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.00Apr 9, 08:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $68.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 09:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".