0x8578306a8b7bfaabb35ac82b7837767b47dcb209
0x8578306a8b7bfaabb35ac82b7837767b47dcb209
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$8.05
Total PnL
$-4.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 6.5¢·now 21.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.25
$2.95
- YES
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.42
$-1.88
- YES
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.13
$-2.38
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.92
$-1.08
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will Jesse Lonis win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPerena FDV above $600M one day after launch?$1.30Apr 5, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.28Feb 27, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?$3.50Jan 8, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?$3.30Jan 5, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 5, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$11.97Dec 27, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$12.00Dec 27, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$11.97Dec 27, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$12.00Dec 27, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$11.97Dec 27, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$12.00Dec 27, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$11.97Dec 27, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$12.00Dec 27, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesse Lonis win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Nov 25, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 25, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?$1.00Nov 25, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?$1.01Nov 25, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$1.02Nov 25, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $5.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".