Monthly-Floor
0x858926ef3c4a40ff426b3cdb19235f0f863f0d2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$25.46
Total PnL
$-40.06
Realised
$19.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
128 shares @ 15.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.40
$-6.60
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.23
$2.23
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
7 shares @ 46.1¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
116 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?
82 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.21
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?
69 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$3.08May 14, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$3.08May 14, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$3.07May 14, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$1.59May 14, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.08Mar 16, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.54Mar 16, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$14.00Mar 16, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$1.00Mar 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 13, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNorth Korea missile test/launch by March 31?$1.40Mar 11, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile test/launch by March 31?$1.00Mar 11, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$2.24Mar 11, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Golden Age" during Miami address?$1.42Mar 9, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golden Age" during Miami address?$1.00Mar 9, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$2.00Mar 9, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$1.00Mar 9, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 7, 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$1.00Mar 6, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.59Mar 4, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.29Mar 4, 00:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".