Scratchy-Loading
0x8597ca63e722d6216bfc3057591fdc67ec49daee
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$104.1K
Total PnL
$-494.39
Realised
$4.0K
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
18117 shares @ 90.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.1K
$797.48
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
9844 shares @ 88.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.1K
$414.33
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
8400 shares @ 92.1¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.0K
$252.38
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
13037 shares @ 65.2¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.9K
$-617.59
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
7413 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.3K
$169.25
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
7947 shares @ 78.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.7K
$473.73
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
6000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$-30.00
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
6579 shares @ 76.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$-197.37
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
10358 shares @ 75.1¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.4K
$-3.4K
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
4372 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.2K
$358.36
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$5.0KMay 18, 06:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.51May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.58May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$499.77May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$62.70May 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.38May 17, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$580.00May 17, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$13.81May 17, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$9.07May 17, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$138.10May 17, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$64.94May 17, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$859.84May 17, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$2.0KMay 17, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$60.00May 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$17.63May 17, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$92.26May 17, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.6KMay 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$739.23May 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.4KMay 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.4KMay 17, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".