Loving-Paste
0x8599bfb60f592e6fd7e9b994d5a4a1f129bbdae4
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$59.61
Total PnL
$-5.11
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
8 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.39
$0.14
- NO
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
5 shares @ 94.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.23
$0.23
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.16
$0.06
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.74
$-0.26
- NO
Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$4.60
$0.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.01
$0.01
- NO
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
4 shares @ 94.9¢·now 96.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$3.94
$0.05
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.50
$0.17
- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$5.00May 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?$2.71May 15, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?$2.10May 14, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$2.28May 14, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.78May 14, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?$2.00Apr 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.86Apr 20, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.30Apr 19, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.62Apr 19, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.00Apr 17, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$1.99Apr 15, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?$4.80Apr 12, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.70Apr 10, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.00Apr 7, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.00Apr 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$4.56Apr 5, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$3.70Apr 4, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEM100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?$1.88Apr 2, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$5.00Apr 2, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$3.33Mar 31, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $49.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 03:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".