Hasty-Chain
0x8633c1c6844c5928b284a71e211584739474a08d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$35.7K
Total PnL
$-21.6K
Realised
$-7.3K
Win rate
29%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
13781 shares @ 76.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.0K
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
17513 shares @ 71.6¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.4K
$-5.1K
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
13507 shares @ 56.9¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.9K
$-2.8K
- NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
8937 shares @ 56.9¢·now 40.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.7K
$-1.4K
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
7692 shares @ 43.9¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$-995.34
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
3446 shares @ 79.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$-446.73
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1000 shares @ 93.8¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$956.51
$18.20
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?
1189 shares @ 67.4¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$832.47
$31.21
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1100 shares @ 71.6¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$786.50
$-0.89
- YES
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
1744 shares @ 31.5¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$505.69
$-44.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.20May 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$0.77May 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$144.01May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.20May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.17May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.10May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.10May 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$210.00May 18, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.33May 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$19.99May 18, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$0.84May 18, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.10May 18, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$533.20May 18, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$849.36May 18, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.02May 18, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$692.24May 18, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$248.78May 18, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$112.65May 18, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?$100.00May 18, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMBoston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves$200.00May 18, 01:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $124.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".