Elegant-Battalion
0x863b1ca7f8bb5ea92a8c387d8f63f703ff407c6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$727.64
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$29.95
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
609 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$608.70
$0.30
- NO
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
129 shares @ 81.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$90.94
$-13.55
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
22 shares @ 54.0¢·now 83.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.41
$6.53
- YES
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
213 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.58
$-15.98
- OVER
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
978 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-234.72
- NO
Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
819 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-343.98
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
781 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-343.64
- UNDER
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
660 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-138.60
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 7 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?
322 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-112.70
- YES
Will Nicki Minaj attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
142 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-36.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMBlackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers$1.1KApr 24, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$104.49Apr 23, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$14.24Apr 12, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$31.30Apr 12, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$26.32Apr 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$0.95Apr 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$1.98Apr 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$18.32Apr 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?$421.29Apr 11, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?$74.18Apr 11, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$388.27Apr 11, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$413.08Apr 11, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?$463.69Apr 11, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$343.98Apr 11, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLDatabricks IPO before 2027?$157.14Apr 11, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLDatabricks IPO before 2027?$385.70Apr 9, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$483.06Apr 9, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$194.22Apr 9, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$471.42Apr 8, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$36.24Apr 8, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $177.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 08:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".