Candid-Sneeze
0x864669913a04d249f41770221bfc62c10812ed78
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
186
Open notional
$291.23
Total PnL
$-143.30
Realised
$122.07
Win rate
99%
100 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- YES
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Glatzel be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$0.00May 18, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Glatzel be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Kramaric be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luis Diaz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Georges Mikautadze be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luxembourg be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mohammed Amoura be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lois Openda be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jamal Musiala be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonathan Burkardt be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonas Wind be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$0.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 100 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".